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Linguofreak

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Went to a local DIY store today. All shelves are full of goods. I can buy everything I need. And there was barely customers. So I'm a little bit confused regarding the news media reporting massive delivery problems, shortage of goods and interminable queues over the counters like the world is going to end soon. Well, out of five, only one counter was open with just three customers in front of me... 🤔
My impression is that cities (and tourist destinations for city people) are generally getting supplied (though often with reduced selection stealthily hidden from the consumer), but rural areas are getting screwed over. Things have mostly been business as usual in Dallas, but we went on a road trip for a family reunion in September, and when we stopped in major cities things were fine, but when we stopped at rural travel stops, some of them were run down to a degree I've never seen before: heavily reduced menus , severe understaffing, and a level of neglect of the physical facilities that made me very nervous about food safety. Really brought the concept of "flyover country" home. A lot of these areas have been dieing on the vine for a while, but it hasn't been visible up-front. COVID has changed that.
 

jedidia

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So I'm a little bit confused regarding the news media reporting massive delivery problems, shortage of goods and interminable queues
I can't speak outside the electronics industry, but there it's pretty bad. We're currently having 6 months delivery time for bloody SD-cards (industrial grade, though), which basically gets extended by a month every month... Let's not talk about more specialised stuff like microchips. We were supposed to roll out new electronics for our remote cameras, but the chips we need for them are currently announced to have a delivery time of 72 weeks... We'll have to make do with our 100 prototypes until then.
On the plus side, we're now recycling pretty much anything that we can.

heavily reduced menus
That's usually due to heavily reduced customer numbers, though, not due to delivery issues.
 

Urwumpe

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I can't speak outside the electronics industry, but there it's pretty bad. We're currently having 6 months delivery time for bloody SD-cards (industrial grade, though), which basically gets extended by a month every month... Let's not talk about more specialised stuff like microchips. We were supposed to roll out new electronics for our remote cameras, but the chips we need for them are currently announced to have a delivery time of 72 weeks... We'll have to make do with our 100 prototypes until then.
On the plus side, we're now recycling pretty much anything that we can.


That's usually due to heavily reduced customer numbers, though, not due to delivery issues.

Same here. Its extreme for some car manufacturers, but affects the whole industry right now.
 

Fabri91

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A colleague spent a day looking for a certain type of industrial main power switch (the rotating red-yellow thing seen on electrical cabinets) - this is the type of component that is normally really easily found.

EDIT: I forgot to add - in the end no switch could be found and we ended up cannibalizing it from an internal demo machine not currently in use, so that's nice.
 
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Urwumpe

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What is Kings Evil? And 12 with French Pox (aka Syphillis) sounds it must have been Tudor time...
 

Linguofreak

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"Made away themselves" is such a long winded way of saying "suicide". And if you're trying to avoid latinate vocabulary, why not just "killed themselves".
 

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Tuberculosis or scrofula, its old name. Though it has Consumption, which I thought was TB?
 

jedidia

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Tuberculosis or scrofula, its old name. Though it has Consumption, which I thought was TB?
According to one poster in the thread, it's scrofula, that is a tubercolosis infection specifically of the lymph nodes. 🤷‍♂️

And if you're trying to avoid latinate vocabulary, why not just "killed themselves".
Honestly, when I read it I had to smile, because it has a more jovial ring to it than "killed themselves".

Also, "Planet" must be the most epic cause of death I've ever heard off. I thought it might describe falling from a large height, but apparently it's sudden deaths believed to be connected to specific astronomical constellations (i.e. "death by astrology").
 

Col Brubaker

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Sometimes I get a little bit funny in the head. Just a little bit funny...
Rick Grimes Inzidenz 01 Deutsch.jpgRick Grimes Incidence 01 english.jpgRick Grimes incidencia 1000 es.jpg
And perhaps there is a french version, but wont upload...
 
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Linguofreak

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Also, "Planet" must be the most epic cause of death I've ever heard off. I thought it might describe falling from a large height, but apparently it's sudden deaths believed to be connected to specific astronomical constellations (i.e. "death by astrology").

Mars in Capricorn through Cancer: The red planet subtends an angle of 180° in your sky; a lithobraking accident is in your immediate future.
 

Urwumpe

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Would have been more funny way before we passed 100,000 deaths....
 

Col Brubaker

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Would have been more funny way before we passed 100,000 deaths....
Well, doesn't mean that we can't make jokes about remedies without solutions. Especially if goverments without solutions promisses those remedies.
And if I do the maths... then I come up with 5-7% of casualties from a flu. That was an average rate even years before doomsday.
 

Urwumpe

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Well, doesn't mean that we can't make jokes about remedies without solutions. Especially if goverments without solutions promisses those remedies.
And if I do the maths... then I come up with 5-7% of casualties from a flu. That was an average rate even years before doomsday.

Luckily others do the math better (you are at least off by one order of magnitude) and at least in terms of knowing the semantics of the numbers.

If you want to calculate how many people die from a flu, make sure you compare similar people and attribute the number to the right population: Do you know anybody ever getting PCR sampled for having a flu in their life? Unless you go into a hospital for a really bad case, its really rare that something like that happens. So, the population of lab-tested people will already have a severe case of influenza and yes, a high number of those will die.

For example, in the 2018/2019 season, we had 852 lab-tested deaths of influenza, out of 181,000 cases confirmed the same way (0.47%). 40000 of those had been hospitalized (22%). That is mildly close to the case fatality rate, but again, as noted, flawed by selection bias. (Source: https://influenza.rki.de/Saisonberichte/2018.pdf )

In reality, the number of all infected people was of course much higher, while the number of deaths was only slightly higher, since these had been covered better by testing. According to the ARE surveillance network monitoring influenza activity from doctor prescriptions, we had up to 2 million cases of respiratory diseases per week, a lot of them with influenza, some lot with the common cold. Every week.

Luckily we have good medicine today. Around 1919, the spanish flu killed about 10% of the Indian population - and that was still only a rather normal kind of influenza virus, something, whose close relative strains visit us about every 4 years. Neither here, nor in India, it has ever become THAT deadly.
 

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Also, "Planet" must be the most epic cause of death I've ever heard off. I thought it might describe falling from a large height, but apparently it's sudden deaths believed to be connected to specific astronomical constellations (i.e. "death by astrology").
Maybe "Planet" was very specific being Neptune:
[...]In medicine, Neptune is seen to be particularly associated with the thalamus, the spinal canal, and uncertain illnesses or neuroses. Neptune is considered by modern astrologers to be the primary ruler of the twelfth house. [...]
Source: wikipedia
 

TheShuttleExperience

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Well, doesn't mean that we can't make jokes about remedies without solutions. Especially if goverments without solutions promisses those remedies.
And if I do the maths... then I come up with 5-7% of casualties from a flu. That was an average rate even years before doomsday.
I guess it‘s better to let the experts do the math, or, as Urwumpe pointed out, at least refer to correct numbers and factors. There are already too many laymen around playing epidemiologist while making incortect assumptions and so contributing to rumors and half-truths.

One doesn‘t really need to do the math because mortality and hospitalization here in Germany already shows that Covid-19 is anything but just as dangerous and deadly as the flu. Also, the course of Covid-19 can not be estimated and can get bad after you thought you made it. After all, this disease is not comparable to the flu. It is not only more deadly, but also causes severe long-term effects and it spreads pandemic. If you let it just go without taking any actions, it gets wild like a bad fire.
 
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