So far, it looks like tomorrow or even tonight might be showtime. 'Ideal lighting conditions' on Feb 16 but I'm not sure they care whether the moon is 98 or 100% lit. Weather-wise, it looks better tonight, as there are clear skies, as opposed to Wednesday, with a small front (weather front, that is) moving in, with rains in western Ukraine, going eastward on Thursday and Friday. On the other hand, cloud cover might mean troop movements hidden from spy satellites and/or drones (not sure if they can or would risk bringing them down low in case of low clouds). That's just the GFS model, but I think the differences would be small on a 48hr interval. EDIT: was supposed to be a gif, but anyways...
The rest is unclear . Some de-escalation looks possible, with the russians saying their 'exercise' would be over on the 20th. On the other hand, there are apparent videos of troop transports near the border. Unclear if that means theiy're getting ready to leave ( I mean,, they are, but in which direction?

). Could also be a tacticto get the ukrainians off-guard before an attack.
As for the russian public, I'm not sure it matters as much as western media is trying to portray. I mean , sure, they don't want war, but other than that, Putin does what Putin does. He is a afraid of looking weak, lest he gets eaten by his own 'apparatus', but other than that, I guess anything goes. A decade ago, around 2011, they realized the wind of dictatorship was blowing hard, and they protested, to which Putin said he was proud of them and that was it. Not to mention all the other protests since. Public opinion is a factor only in democracies, otherwise, if you don't piss them off so bad that they torch the country down, it doesn't matter. And, as seen in China, Kazakhstan and other fledgling democracies, the people can't win a war against their own military, so sometimes protesting only narrows down the protester's numbers, whether by gulag or bullet.
I still think there is some hope they might 'just' try to link up Crimea and Donbass, although that in itself is war already. And they might try a surgical strike in Kiev, because of course they would. As Meersheimer used to say, they're trying to wreck Ukraine, not hold it. But all that really depends on Putin's sanity, really. It's already quite clear they can't sustain a long war economically, the risk remains that they might try anyway, and it would turn into a bloodbath for all sides. Not sure if the dude is ironic or otherwise when talking about the '19th century politics' thing