Well, a good guess is "at least as much as Ares V". But keep in mind that if you built the Saturn V today you'd make some changes in it. Technology has advanced a bit sinc the 1970s. The avionics would all be much more capable and much lighter; the J2 and F1 engines would probably all be upgraded, newer, better materials would be used throughout, and while you're at it you may as well explore ways to make the launchpad and other ground facilities more efficient.
But it won't happen because of politics. Many see Ares V as a step backward, imagine the howl of protest if NASA actually wanted to rebuild a successful rocket. Call me a pessemist, but I think NASA has become really good at wasting money and not much else when it comes to manned spaceflight. They occasionally do the unmanned stuff right; hopefully this will prove true during the events on the Martian surface that will occur a few hours from now.