I'm not so sure - if you look at Horizons data the aposelene goes from 205681km to 97714km during 18mins around periselene, on 13 November 2022. That doesn't happen in Orbiter without a burn.HORIZONS says "Data through Oct 23, predictions thereafter"
I think everything after Oct 23 is just calculated ballistics without corrections.
Nice image - what are you using? GMAT?
I think you must be right. So maybe we'll see a more stable/finely tuned NRHO shown in the Horizons data shortly.Yes, I used GMAT.
And yes, according to GMAT as well as Orbiter CAPSTONE with this POS/VEL from HORIZONS escapes Moon just soon after 14 Dec. Moreover, it looks like it's already way off NRHO, so I think there should be corrections before this date (and after 14 Nov) which were not included in HORIZONS data. Maybe they are not scheduled yet.
2459927.500000000, A.D. 2022-Dec-14 00:00:00.0000, -3.540615979107255E+04, 1.054132688459846E+04, -4.928965709311910E+04, -3.865808101214649E-02, 7.819699210330527E-02, -2.120745164618341E-01,
TDB Epoch: 14 Dec 2022 00:00:00.000 Cartesian State --------------------------- X = -35406.854827069 km Y = 10541.648590011 km Z = -49289.027182366 km VX = -0.0386621288764 km/sec VY = 0.0781966607821 km/sec VZ = -0.2120764223620 km/sec